Rasmussen

There are two recent polls with somewhat conflicting results about the presidential race in Maine.

On Friday, Rasmussen Reports noted that there was only a four-point gap between Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama and Republican candidate John McCain, with Obama leading 50 to 46.

However they give Obama a 92.9 percent chance of winning Maine’s four electoral votes.

This was a drastic difference from Rasmussen’s August report, which had Obama leading 49 to 36.

The Rothenberg Political Report, however, does not view this race as close. In data released today, the report puts Maine in its “Safe/Likely Obama” category.

Other notes from the Rasmussen poll:

Ten was the magic number this past week.  Rasmussen released his May numbers on the Allen v Collins race and reported numbers that put Tom Allen with ten percentage points of Collins, at 52% for Collins versus 42% for Allen  The latest Rasmussen numbers reflect a six-point gain for Allen, and the first real movement since last Spring.  In April the point spread was 16%, so not an insignificant gain.  Rasmussen notes that, "While Collins' numbers have slipped a bit this month, she remains in better position than many of her Republican colleagues."   

I'm sure that is little comfort for the Collins team in a year that pundits are hinting could be a real wash out for republicans.